Why Is the Colorado River Drying Up?

The Colorado River is a vital water source for the American Southwest, providing water to approximately 40 million people and irrigating millions of acres of farmland across seven U.S. states and parts of Mexico. This river system, flowing for nearly 1,450 miles, supports urban centers, agricultural economies, and diverse ecosystems in an arid region. Despite its historical significance, the river faces unprecedented challenges as its flow significantly diminishes, threatening both natural environments and human populations.

Prolonged Drought and Warming Trends

The Colorado River Basin has experienced a prolonged and severe dry period spanning more than two decades. This isn’t merely a cyclical drought but a shift towards more persistent dry conditions, a phenomenon known as aridification. This signifies a long-term transition of a region from a wetter to a drier climate, where hotter and drier conditions are becoming the norm. Average temperatures in the Colorado River Basin have risen by about 2.7 degrees Fahrenheit since the late 19th century, with warming temperatures playing an increasing role in reducing streamflow.

These rising temperatures exacerbate water loss. They increase evaporation from reservoirs and the river, and reduce snowpack, a natural water reservoir in the Rocky Mountains where over 70% of the river’s water originates. Warming also causes earlier, faster snowmelt runoff, meaning water flows into the river system sooner, and soils dry out more quickly, absorbing water before it reaches streams. Studies indicate warming has caused significant runoff decreases in the basin’s snowpack regions.

Increasing Human Demands

Human activities also contribute to the Colorado River’s diminishing water supply. Agriculture accounts for the majority of the river’s water consumption, using 70% to 80% of its flow. This supports irrigation for approximately 15% of the nation’s farmland and produces a large portion of winter vegetables. Water-intensive crops, such as alfalfa and other hay grown for cattle feed, consume a large share, estimated at 32% of the river’s total flow, or nearly half of the water diverted for agriculture.

Rapid urban growth in cities across the American Southwest also increases demand on the river. Major metropolitan areas like Los Angeles, Phoenix, Las Vegas, and Denver rely on the Colorado River for their municipal and industrial water needs. While many cities have implemented conservation measures leading to significant reductions in per capita water use, population growth drives overall demand upward. Municipal and industrial uses account for 18% to 25% of the river’s consumptive use.

Legacy Water Management

Historical agreements and existing infrastructure influence the Colorado River’s current state. The 1922 Colorado River Compact, a key agreement, allocated water resources among the seven basin states. This compact, along with subsequent agreements, apportioned more water than the river reliably provides, especially during drier periods. The allocations were based on flow estimates from unusually wet historical periods, leading to a structural deficit where consumption exceeds the river’s natural flow.

The network of dams and reservoirs, including Hoover Dam and Glen Canyon Dam, while serving purposes like storage, flood control, and hydropower, also contribute to water loss. Significant amounts evaporate from these large, open bodies, especially under warming conditions. Operating this complex system under declining inflows has resulted in reservoirs reaching historically low levels. Furthermore, long-standing water rights and agricultural practices are difficult to modify, compounding the imbalance.