Why Is It So Hot? From Weather to Climate Change

The extreme heat many people are experiencing results from two interacting phenomena: short-term atmospheric mechanics and long-term, systemic warming of the planet. Understanding why temperatures are reaching record levels requires looking beyond the immediate forecast to underlying changes in Earth’s climate system. Current conditions are not merely random fluctuations, but a combination of specific weather patterns occurring on a fundamentally warmer baseline. This dual perspective is necessary to grasp the severity and increasing frequency of intense heat events.

Immediate Meteorological Drivers of Heat

Intense heat often results from localized weather phenomena driven by stagnant high-pressure systems. A common mechanism is the “heat dome,” which occurs when high atmospheric pressure settles over a region for an extended period. This high-pressure zone acts like a lid, preventing the upward movement of hot air and blocking cooler air from entering.

Within this dome, air sinks toward the surface and is physically compressed. This compression causes the air to warm significantly, a process known as adiabatic heating, which raises the temperature near the ground. The high-pressure cap also suppresses cloud formation, allowing maximum solar radiation to reach the surface and further intensifying the heating effect.

The persistence of these events is often linked to atmospheric blocking patterns, such as the Omega block, where the normal west-to-east flow of the jet stream stalls. When the jet stream develops large, stationary loops, it traps weather systems in place. This stagnation locks the hot, high-pressure system over a wide area, causing temperatures to climb until the atmospheric flow pattern shifts.

Long-Term Climate Baseline Shifts

While atmospheric blocking explains why a heat wave is occurring at a specific time and location, it does not explain why that heat wave is unusually intense or persistent. That intensity is due to a fundamental shift in the planet’s energy balance caused by human activity. The long-term increase in global average temperature is driven by the enhanced greenhouse effect.

Since the Industrial Revolution, the burning of fossil fuels has released massive quantities of heat-trapping gases, particularly carbon dioxide and methane, into the atmosphere. These molecules absorb heat energy radiated from the Earth’s surface and then re-emit it in all directions, including back toward the ground. This process effectively thickens the planet’s atmospheric blanket, causing the lower atmosphere and the surface to retain more energy.

Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide have increased by approximately 50% since the pre-industrial era, reaching levels not seen for millions of years. This added insulation has raised the Earth’s average surface temperature by about 1.1 degrees Celsius above the 1850–1900 baseline.

This higher baseline temperature means that when a natural weather pattern, like a heat dome, occurs, it starts from an already elevated thermal point. Every short-term heat event is superimposed on a system that is systematically warmer than it was a century ago. This makes the occurrence of record-breaking temperatures and the intensity of heat waves far more probable.

The Body’s Response to Extreme Temperatures

The human body is a highly regulated thermal system, maintaining a core temperature within a narrow range around 37 degrees Celsius. When exposed to intense heat, the body initiates several automatic physiological responses to prevent overheating. The primary defense mechanism is sweating, where moisture evaporates from the skin’s surface, carrying heat away from the body in the process.

The body increases blood flow to the skin through a process called vasodilation, where blood vessels near the surface widen. This redirects warm blood from the core to the periphery, allowing heat to dissipate into the environment. This increased blood flow places a substantial strain on the cardiovascular system, requiring the heart to pump harder and faster to maintain sufficient blood pressure and circulation.

If the body’s cooling mechanisms become overwhelmed, a progression of heat-related illness can occur. Heat exhaustion is an initial stage resulting from significant water and salt loss through heavy sweating, often presenting with clammy skin and fatigue. If the core temperature continues to rise and surpasses approximately 40 degrees Celsius, the body’s thermoregulation system can fail entirely, leading to heat stroke.

In heat stroke, the body is no longer able to cool itself, and the skin may become hot and dry despite the heat exposure. This uncontrolled rise in core temperature can lead to protein denaturation and cellular damage, particularly in the brain. Symptoms include confusion, altered mental status, or loss of consciousness. The severity of the heat event is measured by the physiological demands it places on the human system.