What Would Happen If We Eradicated Mosquitoes?

Mosquitoes are often seen as mere pests. However, their complete eradication would have far-reaching implications for human health and natural environments, revealing a complex web of consequences.

Mosquitoes’ Place in the Ecosystem

Mosquitoes occupy various positions within diverse ecosystems, functioning as both a food source and, for some species, as pollinators. Mosquito larvae, living in aquatic environments, serve as a food source for numerous freshwater animals, including fish, aquatic insects, and amphibians. Adult mosquitoes are prey for a range of animals such as birds, bats, dragonflies, spiders, and lizards.

Adult mosquitoes, both male and female, feed on plant nectar and juices, not blood, to fuel their flight. As they move from flower to flower, they transfer pollen, contributing to the reproduction of certain plant species. The Aedes communis mosquito, for instance, is an important pollinator for the blunt-leaf orchid (Platanthera obtusata) in northern regions.

The Human Health Benefits of Eradication

The eradication of disease-carrying mosquito species would lead to substantial improvements in global human health. Mosquitoes transmit numerous pathogens, causing diseases that affect hundreds of millions of people annually and result in over one million deaths.

Malaria, primarily transmitted by Anopheles mosquitoes, caused an estimated 249 million cases and 608,000 deaths globally in 2022, mostly in children under five in the African Region. The economic cost of malaria alone significantly impacts GDP and incurs billions in annual costs.

Aedes mosquitoes, including Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus, are vectors for dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. Dengue infects millions annually, causing tens of thousands of deaths. Zika virus infection, while often mild, is concerning due to its link with microcephaly and other severe brain malformations in infants born to infected mothers, and also with Guillain-Barré syndrome in adults.

Chikungunya, also spread by Aedes mosquitoes, caused millions of cases and billions in costs worldwide. Culex mosquitoes transmit West Nile virus, Japanese encephalitis, and St. Louis encephalitis, impacting human and animal health. Eliminating these disease vectors would alleviate immense suffering, prevent millions of deaths, and significantly reduce the global economic burden associated with treatment and lost productivity.

Ecological Shifts Without Mosquitoes

The removal of mosquitoes from ecosystems could trigger unpredictable and significant ecological shifts. Mosquitoes, especially their aquatic larvae, are a fundamental component of the food web, converting organic matter into biomass consumed by various predators. The disappearance of this food source might lead to declines in populations of animals that heavily rely on them, such as certain fish, amphibian larvae, and insect species like dragonflies.

This reduction in prey could initiate trophic cascades, affecting larger predators like birds and bats that feed on adult mosquitoes. Some bird species, including hummingbirds, consume small flying insects like mosquitoes. Their widespread absence could alter diets and affect reproductive success.

The role of mosquitoes in pollination, particularly for specific plants like some orchids, could lead to reproductive challenges for these flora. Mosquito larvae also contribute to nutrient cycling in aquatic environments. The ecological niches left vacant could be filled by other species, but their long-term effects on ecosystem stability remain uncertain.

Targeting Specific Mosquito Species

A more nuanced approach than eradicating all mosquitoes involves targeting only the specific species that transmit human diseases. Of the over 3,700 mosquito species, less than 3% are known to transmit human pathogens. These disease-carrying species primarily belong to three genera: Anopheles, Aedes, and Culex.

For example, Anopheles mosquitoes are responsible for malaria transmission, while Aedes mosquitoes spread dengue, Zika, and chikungunya. Culex mosquitoes are known vectors for West Nile virus, Japanese encephalitis, and St. Louis encephalitis. Many mosquito species do not bite humans or play significant roles in disease transmission, instead serving their primary ecological functions without posing a direct threat to human health.

This targeted strategy acknowledges the ecological contributions of non-vector species while addressing serious public health concerns posed by a select few. It represents a more realistic and ecologically informed pathway for managing mosquito populations.