What Would Happen If Fish Went Extinct?

The hypothetical extinction of all fish species, spanning both marine and freshwater environments globally, would be an ecological event of catastrophic proportions. Fish are the dominant vertebrates in aquatic ecosystems, representing an immense portion of the planet’s total biomass and biodiversity. Their disappearance would initiate a chain reaction across all major planetary systems, from the deepest oceans to coastal economies. This loss would immediately destabilize global food webs, alter ocean chemistry, and unleash profound consequences for humanity’s ability to feed itself and maintain societal stability.

Ecological Collapse of Marine Food Webs

The immediate consequence of a world without fish would be the unravelling of aquatic food webs, known as a trophic cascade. Fish act as both primary predators and main prey for countless other aquatic creatures. Their sudden removal would eliminate the top-down control they exert, leading to explosive population growth in organisms they once consumed.

The most dramatic shift would be the overgrowth of smaller organisms, especially jellyfish. Fish like sardines and herring compete intensely with jellyfish for food and prey on their eggs and larvae. With this predation and competition pressure gone, ecosystems would rapidly shift toward a gelatinous dominance, turning fish-rich waters into “jelly seas.” Localized fish stock collapses have historically shown this phenomenon, where massive jellyfish blooms replaced millions of tonnes of fish.

Simultaneously, the loss of fish would starve all higher-trophic predators that rely on them for survival. Marine mammals, seabirds, and non-fish predators like squid and larger sharks would lose their primary food source, leading to rapid population declines globally. The loss of fish would also impact terrestrial animals, including raptors and bears, that feed on river and lake fish. The entire aquatic environment would become structurally impoverished, dominated by rapidly reproducing organisms and devoid of most large, complex life forms.

The Global Food Security Crisis

The extinction of fish would instantly trigger a global food security crisis, affecting human survival and nutrition. More than 3.3 billion people worldwide rely on fish for at least 20% of their animal protein intake, a reliance that soars to over 50% in many low-income and coastal nations. Fish are a unique source of bioavailable protein, but their loss would be particularly devastating due to their rich profile of micronutrients.

Fish provide essential nutrients like Omega-3 fatty acids, Iodine, Iron, Zinc, Calcium, and Vitamins D and B12, which are often scarce in other food sources. The loss of these micronutrients would cause widespread deficiency diseases and an increase in “hidden hunger,” particularly affecting vulnerable populations in developing regions. This nutritional deficit cannot be quickly replaced by terrestrial agriculture.

Scaling up livestock or crop farming to replace the biomass of protein and unique nutritional components provided by fish is not feasible in the short term. The global food system would face an immediate protein shock, leading to malnutrition, stunting, and increased mortality rates. The crisis would be most acute where fish is a local, affordable staple, forcing billions to compete for increasingly scarce and expensive terrestrial protein sources.

Alterations to Planetary Climate and Chemistry

Fish play a significant role in regulating the planet’s climate and ocean chemistry through complex biogeochemical cycles. The most important is the biological carbon pump, which transfers carbon from the surface waters to the deep ocean, effectively removing it from the atmosphere. Fish contribute by consuming carbon-rich organisms near the surface and then excreting dense fecal pellets that rapidly sink to the deep sea.

This “fish carbon” export contributes a substantial amount of carbon that sinks below the upper ocean layers annually. The extinction of fish would severely reduce the efficiency of this natural carbon sequestration mechanism, leaving more carbon dioxide in the surface waters and eventually the atmosphere. Furthermore, bony fish actively produce calcium carbonate in their guts, which helps buffer the acidity of the surrounding water.

The loss of fish would fundamentally disrupt nutrient cycling, as they move elements like nitrogen and phosphorus throughout the water column. Without fish to cycle these elements, the imbalance could lead to widespread anoxia, or oxygen depletion, creating massive dead zones. This would also fuel the proliferation of harmful algal blooms, which thrive in imbalanced nutrient conditions and degrade water quality.

Economic and Social Disruption

The extinction of fish would immediately collapse a global industry valued at hundreds of billions of dollars annually, causing widespread economic and social disruption. The global fishing industry, including commercial, recreational, and aquaculture sectors, employs tens of millions of people worldwide. This workforce would be instantly displaced, facing a complete loss of livelihood.

The economic shockwave would ripple through associated industries, including seafood processing plants, transportation networks, and equipment manufacturing. Coastal communities, which often have economies and cultures deeply interwoven with the sea, would face complete economic devastation and social unraveling. The loss of traditional fishing practices is a profound cultural event, stripping communities of their heritage and way of life.

The combination of the food security crisis and economic collapse would heighten international tensions. Competition for remaining terrestrial and non-fish aquatic food resources would increase, potentially leading to resource conflicts and mass migration from impoverished coastal areas. This societal instability would compound the environmental catastrophe, creating a global humanitarian and political crisis.