What Would Happen If All the Ice Melted?

The complete melting of all land-based ice on Earth represents a profound planetary transformation. This scenario involves the total discharge of water from the world’s ice sheets, mountain glaciers, and ice caps into the global ocean system. Such an event would redefine coastlines and reshape continents, leading to a new geography dramatically different from the one humanity knows today.

The Primary Sources of Global Ice Mass

The vast majority of the world’s frozen water resides in two enormous reservoirs: the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. The Antarctic Ice Sheet is by far the largest, holding nearly 90% of all the ice on the planet. Its sheer volume is the dominant factor in calculating the potential for global sea level change.

The Greenland Ice Sheet is the second-largest store of land ice, though significantly smaller than its southern counterpart. Its melt contributes a substantial portion of the total water available to enter the oceans. Mountain glaciers and smaller ice caps hold the remaining fraction of the world’s ice, but their total volume is minor compared to the two polar ice sheets.

The Total Rise in Sea Level

The complete mobilization of this land-based ice mass would result in an oceanic expansion calculated to be approximately 216 feet, or 66 meters, globally. This calculation is derived from the measured volume of all ice resting on continental landmasses and islands. The metric is based on the displacement caused by the volume of water transferred from land to the ocean basin.

This dramatic rise is caused only by the melting of land ice, such as ice sheets and glaciers. Floating sea ice, like that found in the Arctic Ocean, does not contribute to global sea level rise because it already displaces its volume in water. The 216-foot figure represents the maximum possible increase from the planet’s freshwater reserves. The Antarctic Ice Sheet alone holds the equivalent of about 58 meters of sea level rise, while Greenland holds about 7.4 meters.

Geographical Impact: A Continental Overview

The new coastlines resulting from a 216-foot sea level rise would fundamentally alter the maps of every continent, with low-lying, densely populated regions experiencing the most profound loss. In North America, the entire Eastern Seaboard would be submerged, eliminating major population centers like New York City, Boston, and Houston. Florida would cease to exist, and the Gulf Coast and much of the Mississippi River Valley would be flooded, creating a massive new inland sea.

Europe would lose vast swaths of historic and productive land, with low-lying nations like the Netherlands and Denmark entirely vanishing beneath the waves. Iconic cities such as London and Venice would be completely submerged. The Black Sea would merge with the Caspian Sea, fundamentally reshaping the geography of Eastern Europe.

The humanitarian impact would be most pronounced in Asia, a continent characterized by dense coastal populations and expansive river deltas. Bangladesh would be entirely lost to the ocean. Vast coastal plains in China and Vietnam, home to hundreds of millions, would be inundated, displacing populations on an unprecedented scale.

Africa, which sits higher above sea level, would experience a lesser overall reduction in landmass compared to the other continents. However, the densely populated and agriculturally important Nile Delta would be lost. Coastal cities and ports across the continent would be eliminated, disrupting trade and local economies.

Non-Geographical Consequences of Melt

Beyond the physical loss of land, the massive influx of freshwater would trigger systemic disruptions in global climate processes. The primary concern is the potential collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), often described as the ocean’s global conveyor belt. This circulation moves warm, salty water north toward Europe and North America, relying on cold, dense water sinking in the North Atlantic.

The discharge of billions of tons of cold, fresh meltwater from Greenland and other northern sources would dilute the North Atlantic, making the surface water less dense and inhibiting its sinking. A significant slowing or complete shutdown of the AMOC would drastically alter regional climates, potentially causing severe cooling in parts of Northern Europe despite the overall global warming trend.

The loss of reflective white ice would also profoundly affect the Earth’s energy balance, a concept known as albedo. Ice and snow efficiently reflect solar radiation back into space, but replacing this white surface with dark ocean or land causes the planet to absorb significantly more heat. This reduction in albedo would accelerate the warming process, creating a self-reinforcing cycle that drives temperatures higher. The collapse of polar ecosystems would follow, as habitats for species like polar bears and seals would be eliminated.