What Types of Animals Will Survive Climate Change?

The escalating effects of global climate change, including rapidly rising temperatures, habitat fragmentation, and resource scarcity, present a profound challenge to animal survival. Understanding which animals will persist requires shifting the focus from species vulnerability to inherent resilience. Survival is determined by whether an organism possesses the adaptive traits necessary to cope with rapid environmental shifts, either through internal biological mechanisms, behavioral flexibility, or spatial relocation. The animals best positioned to navigate this period of planetary change are those that can quickly adapt or already possess a wide tolerance for extreme conditions.

Generalists and the Power of Rapid Evolution

Species that exhibit a broad ecological niche are uniquely prepared for the instability brought by climate change. These generalists can use a wide variety of food sources and inhabit diverse environments, giving them a flexibility that specialists lack when their specific resources disappear. For instance, highly adaptable mammals like raccoons, coyotes, and certain rodents are thriving in human-modified landscapes because their varied diets allow them to exploit novel food sources.

This ability to quickly exploit new niches is often paired with a life history strategy known as r-selection. These species are characterized by high reproductive rates, short lifespans, and minimal parental investment, producing many offspring. This strategy is advantageous in unstable environments because the short generation time allows for faster adaptation through natural selection. The rapid succession of generations means that beneficial genetic mutations can spread through the population much more quickly than in species with long lifespans.

Insects are a prime example of this evolutionary speed, with many species able to produce a new generation in a matter of weeks or months. This high turnover rate allows species like fruit flies to quickly evolve responses to new selective pressures, such as adapting to a new invasive competitor or a shift in seasonal temperature patterns. The short generation times of these invertebrates offer a mechanism for keeping pace with environmental change that most large, long-lived mammals simply do not possess.

Species with High Physiological Tolerance

Beyond the ability to evolve quickly, some animals possess deep-seated biological mechanisms that allow them to endure extreme physical conditions. This physiological tolerance is distinct from behavioral adaptation and often relies on specialized cellular and molecular defenses. A striking example is the tardigrade, a microscopic invertebrate known as the water bear, which can enter a state of suspended animation called cryptobiosis.

In this desiccated state, the tardigrade forms a protective ‘tun’ by contracting its body and losing almost all its water content, allowing it to survive temperatures ranging from near absolute zero to 149°C. The mechanism relies on unique proteins, such as intrinsically disordered proteins and late embryogenesis abundant (LEA) proteins, which stabilize and protect cellular structures and DNA from damage. However, this extreme resilience is conditional, as active, hydrated tardigrades are vulnerable to much lower heat stress, highlighting a trade-off between survival and activity.

A more widespread physiological defense is the production of heat shock proteins (HSPs), which act as molecular chaperones within the cells of many animals, including insects, fish, and livestock. When an organism experiences thermal stress, these proteins rapidly synthesize to prevent the denaturation and aggregation of other cellular proteins. Organisms inhabiting highly variable thermal zones, such as the intertidal shore, often exhibit a strong inducible HSP response, which is a cellular strategy for surviving predictable temperature fluctuations. In marine environments, some fish species, like the clownfish, show an ability to regulate their internal acid-base status, allowing them to better compensate for the decreased pH caused by ocean acidification.

Utilizing Disturbed Habitats and Migration

For many animals, survival depends less on internal biology and more on the external strategy of movement or habitat exploitation. High mobility is a significant asset, enabling species to track their preferred thermal range by shifting their geographical distribution. Marine fish and highly mobile bird species often move poleward or to higher altitudes to stay within their optimal temperature zones. This range shift can occur faster in the ocean than on land, as high mobility allows marine species to rapidly relocate as water temperatures rise.

In addition to large-scale migration, a significant number of species are surviving by exploiting environments heavily altered by human activity. These synanthropic species thrive in disturbed niches like cities and agricultural land, often exhibiting a resilience to stressors that would eliminate their counterparts in natural habitats. Urban-dwelling animals like coyotes, squirrels, and certain birds, such as the common blackbird, have adapted by becoming less wary of humans, reducing their migratory behavior, and exploiting anthropogenic resources.

A warming climate also favors many invasive species, which are often generalists with high dispersal rates that can readily colonize new areas. These invaders benefit from the removal of historic cold-weather barriers, allowing them to expand their range northward and into higher elevations. By taking advantage of disturbances like wildfires or drought, invasive species can outcompete native organisms, effectively turning the environmental stress of climate change into an opportunity for their own proliferation.