What Percentage of Americans Have Prediabetes?

Prediabetes is a health condition where blood sugar levels are elevated above the normal range but have not yet reached the threshold for a Type 2 Diabetes diagnosis. This intermediate state indicates that the body is beginning to struggle with regulating sugar in the bloodstream. Understanding this condition is important because it serves as a warning sign that the body is progressing toward Type 2 Diabetes. The high prevalence of prediabetes in the U.S. population underscores the need for greater awareness, as early detection provides an opportunity to prevent or delay serious health complications.

The Scale of Prediabetes in the U.S.

The volume of prediabetes cases in the United States highlights a broad public health challenge. Data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) shows that approximately 38.0% of American adults have prediabetes. This means nearly 98 million people aged 18 or older are living with blood sugar levels that put them at a higher risk for developing Type 2 Diabetes.

The majority of individuals with prediabetes, over 80%, are unaware of their condition. This lack of diagnosis means that most people are not taking preventative actions, allowing the condition to progress silently. Since prediabetes typically presents without noticeable symptoms, a simple blood test is the only way to accurately identify this metabolic state.

Medical Criteria for Diagnosis

Prediabetes is defined using specific laboratory blood tests that measure glucose levels. Healthcare providers primarily rely on two main tests to confirm a diagnosis, each showing how the body manages blood sugar. One method is the A1C test, which reflects a person’s average blood sugar level over the preceding two to three months.

A diagnosis of prediabetes is confirmed when the A1C result falls within the range of 5.7% to 6.4%. This test is convenient because it does not require fasting and can be performed at any time. The other primary diagnostic tool is the Fasting Plasma Glucose (FPG) test, which measures blood sugar after a person has fasted for at least eight hours.

A prediabetes diagnosis from the FPG test is indicated by a level between 100 and 125 mg/dL. Levels below 100 mg/dL are considered normal, while a result of 126 mg/dL or higher indicates diabetes. A third diagnostic option, the Oral Glucose Tolerance Test (OGTT), involves measuring blood sugar two hours after consuming a sugary drink; a result between 140 and 199 mg/dL indicates prediabetes.

Key Risk Factors and Demographic Disparities

The likelihood of developing prediabetes is influenced by a combination of factors. Advancing age is a non-modifiable factor, with the risk increasing substantially after age 45. A family history of Type 2 Diabetes, particularly having a parent or sibling with the condition, also increases susceptibility.

Modifiable risk factors, which can be addressed through lifestyle changes, include overweight or obesity. Physical inactivity, defined as being physically active fewer than three times a week, directly impacts the body’s ability to use insulin effectively. Women who have had gestational diabetes or have given birth to a baby weighing over nine pounds are also at an elevated risk.

Demographic disparities reveal that prediabetes does not affect all populations equally. Prevalence rates are higher among certain racial and ethnic groups, including African American, Hispanic or Latino, American Indian, and Alaska Native people. Furthermore, the prevalence rises sharply with age, reaching almost half of all adults aged 65 years or older.

Actionable Steps for Prevention and Reversal

A diagnosis of prediabetes is not a certainty of future diabetes, as the condition can often be reversed through targeted lifestyle modifications. The most effective approach is a structured, evidence-based program, such as the National Diabetes Prevention Program (DPP). This intervention focuses on achieving two goals: modest weight loss and consistent physical activity.

A weight loss target of 5% to 7% of current body weight has been shown to significantly reduce the risk of developing Type 2 Diabetes. This can be accomplished through simple dietary adjustments that reduce the intake of added sugars and highly processed foods. Focus should shift toward a diet rich in whole foods, fiber, and lean protein, such as filling half a plate with non-starchy vegetables at mealtimes.

In addition to dietary changes, aiming for at least 150 minutes of moderate-intensity physical activity per week is highly effective. This amount of activity translates to about 30 minutes of brisk walking or a similar activity five days each week. Regular exercise increases the body’s sensitivity to insulin, which helps cells absorb glucose from the bloodstream more efficiently.