What Percent of Thyroid Biopsies Are Cancerous?

A fine-needle aspiration (FNA) biopsy is a procedure used to evaluate suspicious lumps, or nodules, found in the thyroid gland. This minimally invasive technique involves using a very thin needle to collect a sample of cells directly from the nodule. These cells are then examined under a microscope to determine if the growth is non-cancerous or cancerous. The primary purpose of this biopsy is to help physicians decide which thyroid nodules require surgical removal and which can be safely monitored. Understanding the likelihood of a cancerous finding is a common concern for patients undergoing this procedure.

The Overall Malignancy Rate in Thyroid Biopsies

Most thyroid nodules that are biopsied are found to be benign, or non-cancerous. The percentage of cases resulting in a malignant diagnosis is generally low, typically falling within the range of 5% to 10% of all diagnostic FNAs. This low rate reflects that thyroid nodules are common, but thyroid cancer is relatively rare. The vast majority of biopsied nodules, around 60% to 70%, are classified as benign.

Understanding the Bethesda System

The definitive malignancy rate depends on the category assigned by the pathologist using a standardized system. The Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (TBSRTC) provides a uniform, six-category reporting tool for thyroid FNA results. This system helps clinicians link a specific cytopathology finding to an estimated risk of cancer and a recommended management plan.

Bethesda Categories and Risk

The six categories range from Category II (benign, 0% to 3% cancer risk) to Category VI (malignant, risk approaching 100%). The most complex results fall into the “indeterminate” categories, which require further clarification.

Indeterminate Results

Category III, known as Atypia of Undetermined Significance (AUS) or Follicular Lesion of Undetermined Significance (FLUS), has an estimated malignancy risk of about 10% to 30%. Category IV, termed Follicular Neoplasm or Suspicious for a Follicular Neoplasm, carries a higher risk of malignancy, typically ranging from 15% to 30%. These categories are important because the cells show abnormal features, but the pathologist cannot make a definitive diagnosis without further information.

Clinical Features That Guide Biopsy Decisions

The overall malignancy rate is low because physicians selectively biopsy nodules using pre-biopsy risk stratification systems. Systems like the ACR Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TI-RADS) determine which nodules warrant a fine-needle aspiration based primarily on their appearance on an ultrasound.

Highly suspicious ultrasound features significantly increase the probability of cancer. These features include a nodule’s darker appearance (hypoechogenicity), irregular margins, a shape that is taller than it is wide, and the presence of microcalcifications. Microcalcifications appear as tiny bright spots and are a strong indicator of potential malignancy.

Clinical factors also contribute to the decision to biopsy, such as a history of radiation exposure to the neck or a rapid increase in nodule size. By selectively targeting nodules with concerning features, the medical community avoids unnecessary biopsies of the numerous benign nodules found in the general population.

What Happens After the Biopsy Result

The management pathway following a thyroid FNA is directly determined by the Bethesda category assigned. For the majority of patients classified as benign (Category II), the recommended course of action is surveillance, involving periodic follow-up with ultrasound imaging.

If the result is malignant (Category VI) or suspicious for malignancy (Category V), surgery is typically the next step. Category V indicates a high risk of cancer (60% to 75%) and leads to a recommendation for surgical removal of the cancerous tissue. The extent of the surgery, such as removing the entire thyroid or just the affected lobe, depends on the specific type and size of the cancer.

Results falling into the indeterminate categories (III and IV) often require further clarification to avoid unnecessary surgery. Molecular testing, which analyzes the genetic profile of the cells, is frequently used to re-stratify the risk for these nodules. If molecular testing suggests a low risk of cancer, the patient may be placed on surveillance. Alternatively, a diagnostic surgical removal of the affected lobe may be performed to obtain a definitive diagnosis.