What Is the Death Rate for Anorexia Nervosa?

Anorexia Nervosa (AN) is a psychiatric disorder characterized by an intense fear of gaining weight, a distorted body image, and severe restriction of food intake, leading to significantly low body weight. This condition is a complex mental illness that precipitates severe physical and psychological consequences. Anorexia Nervosa carries one of the highest mortality rates of any psychiatric diagnosis, highlighting its profound severity and the urgent need for comprehensive intervention.

Understanding the Mortality Statistics

To accurately quantify the risk of death associated with Anorexia Nervosa, researchers commonly use the Standardized Mortality Ratio (SMR). The SMR is a statistical measure that compares the number of observed deaths within a population of individuals with AN to the number of deaths expected in the general population, after adjusting for factors like age and sex. A comprehensive meta-analysis of long-term studies often reports the SMR for Anorexia Nervosa to be in the range of approximately 5.9 to 6.2, meaning individuals with AN face a risk of death nearly six times greater than their peers in the general population.

The SMR for AN is consistently cited as being higher than for nearly all other psychiatric conditions, including major depression and schizophrenia. The mortality statistics can vary significantly depending on the specific patient group being studied. For instance, studies focusing on individuals with more severe, treatment-resistant illness have reported SMRs that can climb as high as 15.9, reflecting the extreme risk carried by the most acutely ill patients.

The SMR is preferred over the crude mortality rate (CMR) because the CMR does not account for the expected background rate of death in the general population. The raw, or crude, annual mortality rate for AN is often estimated at around 0.56% per year. The mortality risk is especially pronounced in the first decade following diagnosis.

Primary Mechanisms of Death

The high mortality rate in Anorexia Nervosa stems from two primary causes: medical complications resulting from malnutrition and suicide. Medical complications, often related to the cardiovascular system, account for the majority of deaths. Chronic starvation forces the body into a state of self-preservation, leading to physiological adaptations that compromise organ function.

The heart is particularly vulnerable to malnutrition, and sudden cardiac death is a major cause of mortality, sometimes accounting for up to 60% of medical deaths. Prolonged undernutrition can cause the heart muscle to atrophy, leading to decreased heart size and function. This is often accompanied by bradycardia (abnormally slow heart rate) and low blood pressure.

A more immediate danger is the development of life-threatening arrhythmias, frequently triggered by severe electrolyte imbalances. Purging behaviors, such as vomiting or laxative misuse, can deplete the body’s stores of potassium (hypokalemia) and phosphate (hypophosphatemia). These low electrolyte levels interfere with the heart’s electrical signaling, leading to a dangerous prolongation of the corrected QT interval (QTc) and increasing the risk of a fatal heart rhythm.

Suicide is the second leading cause of death in Anorexia Nervosa, accounting for approximately 20 to 25% of all fatalities. The psychological distress, comorbidity with other mental health disorders, and chronic nature of the illness contribute to a risk of completed suicide that is far greater than in the general population.

Variables That Increase Mortality Risk

Mortality risk in Anorexia Nervosa is not uniform across all patients, and several clinical and demographic factors increase an individual’s likelihood of premature death. The most significant predictor of increased risk is the duration of the illness; a longer time spent living with AN is strongly correlated with a higher SMR. This suggests a cumulative damage effect on the body’s systems that becomes more difficult to reverse over time.

The severity of the physical illness, indicated by a sustained, extremely low body weight or a very low Body Mass Index (BMI), also increases the immediate medical risk. The presence of co-occurring mental health conditions, known as comorbidity, is a strong modifier of mortality risk.

The risk of suicide is substantially heightened when Anorexia Nervosa is accompanied by conditions such as severe depression, alcohol use disorder, or other substance use disorders. Older age at the time of follow-up or a later age of diagnosis is associated with higher mortality rates, which may reflect a longer period of cumulative health damage or a more entrenched, chronic form of the illness.