What Galaxy Are We Going to Collide With?

Galaxies across the universe are not static islands of stars; they are constantly in motion, influenced by the gravitational pull of other cosmic structures. Our Milky Way galaxy is part of this dynamic environment, a member of the Local Group. Within this vast cosmic web, galaxies interact, move towards, and sometimes pass through one another, driven by gravity. This ongoing celestial dance shapes the evolution and appearance of galaxies over billions of years.

The Cosmic Dance Partner

Our Milky Way galaxy is on a collision course with its largest neighbor, the Andromeda galaxy. Andromeda, also known as Messier 31 or M31, is a barred spiral galaxy, similar in type to our own, and is the largest member of the Local Group. It is currently located approximately 2.5 million light-years away from Earth. Andromeda is a massive galaxy, estimated to contain about one trillion stars, significantly more than the Milky Way’s 200 to 400 billion stars.

When Will It Happen?

The predicted collision between the Milky Way and the Andromeda galaxy is not an immediate event but a cosmic spectacle set to unfold over an immense timescale. This galactic merger is expected to commence in about 4.5 billion years, with initial gravitational interactions beginning around 3.75 to 4 billion years from now.

What Happens During a Galactic Collision?

When two galaxies collide, it is not like two solid objects smashing into each other. Galaxies are mostly empty space, meaning individual stars rarely, if ever, directly collide. Instead, gravitational forces between the approaching galaxies profoundly distort their shapes. Spiral arms can become stretched and jumbled, leading to the formation of long tidal tails of stars and gas.

The gravitational potential changes rapidly during this process, significantly altering the orbits of stars within both galaxies in a phenomenon called “violent relaxation.” While stars avoid direct impacts, giant molecular clouds within the galaxies can collide, leading to bursts of intense star formation. These “starbursts” can create thousands of new stars each year, far exceeding the Milky Way’s current rate. Over hundreds of millions of years, the galaxies will pass through each other multiple times before eventually merging into a single, larger structure, likely an elliptical galaxy. The supermassive black holes at the centers of both galaxies will also eventually merge, generating powerful gravitational waves.

Our Solar System’s Fate

The fate of our solar system during the Milky Way-Andromeda collision is a subject of scientific modeling. Even though the galaxies will undergo dramatic reshaping, the immense distances between stars mean the Sun is highly unlikely to collide with another star. Earth itself will also not be directly impacted by any celestial body from Andromeda.

The gravitational interactions will significantly alter the Sun’s orbit within the newly formed merged galaxy. Simulations suggest the Solar System could be swept farther from the galactic core than its current position, or even ejected entirely into intergalactic space. The Sun will continue its life cycle, though by the time of the collision, it will be significantly brighter and hotter, potentially rendering Earth uninhabitable due to its increasing luminosity.

How Do We Know?

Astronomers use a combination of advanced observational techniques and sophisticated computer simulations to predict this future galactic collision. A key method involves measuring the velocity of galaxies using the Doppler effect. By analyzing the shift in the wavelength of light emitted by Andromeda, scientists can determine if it is moving towards or away from us. Andromeda exhibits a blueshift, indicating it is approaching the Milky Way at a speed of approximately 110 kilometers per second.

The Hubble Space Telescope has played a role by precisely measuring the proper motion, or sideways movement, of Andromeda’s stars over many years. These measurements, combined with the radial velocity data, provide a complete three-dimensional understanding of Andromeda’s trajectory. Scientists then feed this observational data into complex computer simulations to predict the most probable outcome of the gravitational interplay between the two galaxies. These simulations account for various factors, including the mass and dark matter distribution of both galaxies.