The Leading Theories on What Causes Multiple Sclerosis

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a chronic autoimmune disorder of the central nervous system. The body’s immune system mistakenly attacks myelin, the protective fatty sheath surrounding nerve fibers. This damage disrupts electrical signals, leading to a wide range of neurological symptoms. The precise trigger for this autoimmune attack remains unknown, but scientists agree that MS arises from a complex interplay of multiple factors.

The Role of Genetic Vulnerability

Multiple sclerosis is not inherited in a simple Mendelian pattern, but genetic background significantly influences risk. Family studies show that having a first-degree relative with MS substantially increases susceptibility compared to the general population. The risk is highest for identical twins, with concordance rates estimated around 25%.

The strongest genetic association is located within the Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) complex on chromosome 6. The specific variant, HLA-DRB115:01, is found in 28% to 33% of MS patients in Northern European populations, compared to 9% to 15% of healthy individuals. Carrying this allele increases the risk of developing MS by roughly threefold. HLA complex genes produce proteins that display foreign or self-proteins to immune cells, instructing the immune system.

Environmental Influence Theories

Environmental factors are strongly linked to MS risk, demonstrated by epidemiological patterns worldwide. The geographic gradient is a consistent finding: MS prevalence increases the further a population lives from the equator. This suggests that sunlight exposure and Vitamin D levels play a role.

Vitamin D modulates the immune system, and low serum levels are associated with higher MS risk. Individuals with higher levels of 25-hydroxyvitamin D have a significantly lower risk of the disease. Other established environmental risk factors include cigarette smoking, which nearly doubles the risk, and childhood obesity, which may increase later susceptibility.

The Infectious Agent Hypothesis

A prominent theory suggests that MS is triggered by an infection that activates the autoimmune response in susceptible individuals. The strongest evidence points to the Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV), a common herpesvirus. Nearly all people with MS have evidence of prior EBV infection, and contracting EBV dramatically increases the future risk of the disease.

One proposed mechanism for this link is called molecular mimicry. This occurs when a protein on the surface of the virus closely resembles a protein naturally found in the human body. Specifically, a protein from EBV, called EBNA1, shares structural similarities with the glial cell adhesion molecule (GlialCAM), a protein found on cells that make up the central nervous system’s white matter.

When the immune system mounts an attack against the viral protein EBNA1, it mistakenly begins to attack the similar-looking GlialCAM on the body’s own cells. This misdirected response is thought to initiate the demyelination process characteristic of MS. While EBV is the most studied infectious agent, other viruses like Human Herpesvirus 6 have also been investigated.

The Multi-Factorial Model

The current scientific consensus recognizes that no single factor is sufficient to cause multiple sclerosis. The disease is understood through a multi-factorial model, requiring multiple risk factors to converge for the autoimmune process to begin. This posits that a person must first possess a specific genetic vulnerability, such as the HLA-DRB115:01 allele, which primes the immune system.

This susceptible individual must then be exposed to environmental hazards, often during childhood or adolescence. These exposures include inadequate Vitamin D or specific infections like EBV. Only when these genetic, infectious, and lifestyle elements align, creating a permissive environment for autoimmunity, does the cascade leading to MS pathology unfold.