Is Regression in Melanoma Good or Bad?

Melanoma, a serious form of skin cancer, is diagnosed after a biopsy reveals malignant cells. Patients receiving their pathology report may encounter the term “regression.” This term describes microscopic evidence that the body’s immune system has attempted to fight the tumor. Regression is a common finding, occurring in an estimated 10% to 35% of primary cutaneous melanomas, but its presence creates uncertainty for both patients and physicians. Understanding this finding is important, as it relates to the body’s natural defense mechanisms and influences cancer management.

What Pathologists Mean by Regression

Regression is a pathological description of the physical changes within the skin where the melanoma once was or is currently located. Pathologists identify this process by looking for specific cellular characteristics under the microscope. These characteristics include a replacement of tumor cells by dermal fibrosis, which is essentially scar tissue formation in the upper layers of the skin.

The body’s response is evident through a lymphocytic inflammatory infiltrate—an accumulation of immune cells, primarily lymphocytes, attacking the tumor site. These immune cells respond to the malignant cells, causing them to die off. Other signs include melanophages, specialized immune cells that have engulfed and are clearing away the melanin pigment from the destroyed cells. This collective evidence indicates a host immune response against the cancer.

The Ambiguous Prognostic Signal

Regression presents an ambiguous signal regarding the patient’s long-term outlook, leading to a debate in the medical community. One argument suggests regression is a favorable sign, indicating a robust anti-tumor immune response. The body’s ability to recognize and partially destroy the melanoma suggests a biological competence that may suppress or slow progression. Some studies support this view, finding that regression in Stage I and Stage II melanomas is associated with improved overall survival.

The competing theory views regression as a concerning sign, suggesting the tumors are biologically more aggressive. This perspective posits that the tumor may have already spread (metastasized) before the immune system was activated enough to cause partial regression at the primary site. In this scenario, the immune response is viewed as a partial success that masked the tumor’s true, aggressive nature. Regression is often treated as a marker of uncertainty, requiring increased vigilance due to the tumor’s unconfirmed history.

The uncertainty is complicated because study results are inconsistent, likely due to differences in how regression is defined and measured by pathologists. For example, one study suggested regression, combined with tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes, predicted a negative sentinel lymph node biopsy. Conversely, in patients with more advanced disease, regression was associated with a less favorable outcome. The current consensus views regression as an uncertain factor that necessitates careful clinical consideration.

Regression’s Effect on Tumor Staging

The primary clinical consequence of regression is its impact on accurately measuring the tumor’s thickness, known as the Breslow depth. The Breslow depth is the distance from the top layer of the skin to the deepest point of invasion and is the most important factor for predicting prognosis. Thicker tumors are associated with a higher risk of spread.

When regression occurs, the immune system destroys tumor cells in the upper dermis, potentially eradicating the deepest point of the original tumor. This destruction can lead to an underestimation of the melanoma’s true, original thickness. Pathologists may report the Breslow depth from the residual invasive component, or note that the true thickness is indeterminate due to the extent of regression.

This underestimation is concerning because a melanoma appearing thin due to regression might have originally been a much thicker, more aggressive tumor. The potential for inaccurate staging means a patient’s risk of metastasis may be higher than the measured Breslow depth suggests. Regression introduces a clinical dilemma where the measured thickness may not reflect the tumor’s full biological potential.

Increased Monitoring After Diagnosis

Because regression introduces ambiguity into the tumor’s true thickness and potential for spread, physicians recommend a more rigorous follow-up schedule. Monitoring involves regular physical and dermatologic examinations to check for recurrence or new melanomas. A significant clinical consideration involves the sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB), which determines if cancer cells have spread to the nearest lymph nodes. Although a very thin melanoma (less than 0.8 millimeters) might not normally warrant an SLNB, regression may prompt a physician to recommend the procedure due to uncertainty about the tumor’s original depth.

Patients are also encouraged to engage in increased self-monitoring, performing regular skin checks for any new or changing pigmented lesions or hardened lumps. This heightened surveillance is concentrated in the first five years after diagnosis, when the risk of recurrence is highest. The overall goal is to mitigate the prognostic uncertainty caused by regression by ensuring the earliest possible detection of any subsequent disease.