Is Mount Vesuvius Still an Active Volcano?

Mount Vesuvius, overlooking the Bay of Naples in Italy, is a geological landmark known primarily for the catastrophic 79 AD eruption that instantly buried the Roman cities of Pompeii and Herculaneum. The volcano dominates the coastal landscape, rising to an elevation of 1,281 meters. Today, the modern city of Naples and its densely populated suburbs surround the volcano, making its current activity status a matter of significant concern.

Active, Dormant, or Extinct: Defining Vesuvius’s Current State

Mount Vesuvius is classified by scientists as an active volcano, even though it is not currently erupting. The classification depends on its history of activity, not just its present state. An active volcano has erupted in historical times and is expected to erupt again, a category Vesuvius falls into because its last eruption occurred in 1944.

A dormant volcano has the potential to erupt but has been quiet for a considerable period. Since Vesuvius has a documented history of activity, it is more accurately described as active but presently quiescent. An extinct volcano is one scientists believe is unlikely to erupt again, a status Vesuvius clearly does not hold.

The volcano remains a significant threat, evidenced by the small, low-magnitude earthquakes that occur beneath the crater area, typically shallower than five kilometers. While Vesuvius is in a closed-conduit phase, continued seismic activity confirms that the magmatic system is still present beneath the surface. This state of quiet unrest is a temporary phase in its long eruptive cycle.

Geological Engine: What Powers Mount Vesuvius

Vesuvius is a composite volcano, or stratovolcano, built up by layers of hardened lava, ash, and volcanic rock. This structure results from the highly viscous and gas-rich magma that fuels its explosive eruptions. The volcano is part of the Campanian volcanic arc, a chain of structures along the western coast of Italy.

The power source for Vesuvius lies deep beneath the Mediterranean Sea in a subduction zone. Here, the African tectonic plate slowly slides beneath the Eurasian plate. This process forces the African plate material into the Earth’s mantle, where it partially melts.

This melting generates magma, which is less dense than the surrounding rock and rises. It accumulates in a magma reservoir approximately eight to ten kilometers below the surface. The magma’s specific chemical composition, which is high in silica (andesite), makes it “sticky” and prone to trapping gases. This trapped gas pressure causes the volcano’s characteristic violent, explosive eruptions, such as the Plinian event of 79 AD.

Tracking the Unrest: Scientific Monitoring of the Volcano

The surveillance of Mount Vesuvius is managed by the Vesuvius Observatory, a section of the National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology (INGV). Founded in 1841, the Observatory is one of the oldest volcanological monitoring institutions in the world. Their work provides continuous, real-time data to detect early signs of magma movement toward the surface.

One primary technique is monitoring seismic activity using a network of permanent and mobile stations to record and locate earthquakes. An increase in the frequency or magnitude of these quakes could signal the fracturing of rock as magma pushes upward. Scientists also monitor ground deformation using GPS stations and tiltmeters, which measure minute changes in the volcano’s shape, such as swelling or tilting, caused by magma chamber inflation.

Geochemical monitoring analyzes the gases and fluids emitted from the volcano, particularly from fumaroles inside the crater. Changes in the composition, temperature, and flow of gases like sulfur dioxide and carbon dioxide can indicate fresh magma is approaching the surface. This multi-parameter approach ensures a comprehensive picture of the volcano’s internal state, which is essential for a timely warning of a potential eruption.

A History of Eruptions: Patterns Since the Destruction of Pompeii

Following the devastating 79 AD event, Mount Vesuvius has erupted approximately three dozen times. The volcano typically follows a pattern of long periods of quiescence followed by a series of more frequent, often explosive, eruptions. Notable eruptions have occurred throughout history, including a major, destructive event in 1631 that killed around 4,000 people.

From 1631 onward, Vesuvius entered a long period of frequent activity, characterized by a mix of lava flows and explosive outbursts. This cycle of nearly continuous activity concluded with the most recent eruption, which took place in March 1944 during World War II. This final 20th-century eruption destroyed several small villages and marked the beginning of the volcano’s current quiet phase.

Since 1944, the volcano has been in a state of closed-conduit quiescence, meaning the central vent is blocked. The duration of this quiet interval has exceeded the average length of past quiescent periods. This indicates that the pressure for the next eruption is potentially building up beneath the surface, informing the current high-risk assessment.