How Much Does Tidal Power Actually Cost?

Tidal power harnesses the predictable movement of ocean tides to generate electricity, offering a reliable source of renewable energy. The economic viability of deploying this technology is complex, depending on significant upfront investments and ongoing operational costs. Understanding these costs is crucial for evaluating the current market position and future potential of tidal power technology.

Initial Investment and Construction Costs

The initial investment for tidal energy projects, known as Capital Expenditure (CapEx), is notoriously high, often exceeding that of more mature renewable technologies like solar or wind per megawatt of capacity. This substantial expense is primarily driven by the need to build robust infrastructure capable of withstanding the harsh marine environment. CapEx for tidal stream projects, which use underwater turbines, is estimated to fall between $4 million and $9 million per megawatt (MW) of installed capacity.

Tidal Barrages vs. Stream Arrays

A significant difference in cost exists between the two main technologies: tidal barrages and tidal stream arrays. Tidal barrages involve constructing massive dam-like structures across an estuary or bay, requiring investments often exceeding a billion dollars for large-scale developments. These civil engineering projects involve long construction times and extensive site preparation, contributing to the high upfront cost. Conversely, tidal stream projects focus on manufacturing specialized turbines and their subsea foundations, with the core hardware alone costing millions per device.

The complexity of the marine setting significantly inflates construction-related costs. Specialized vessels and equipment are required for turbine deployment, foundation construction, and laying submarine cables, often in deep and fast-moving water. Furthermore, the materials used must be highly durable to resist the corrosive effects of saltwater and the immense forces of tidal currents.

Operational Expenses and Key Cost Drivers

Once a tidal energy plant is operational, the ongoing financial requirements shift to Operational Expenditure (OpEx), covering the routine running, maintenance, and repair of submerged assets. OpEx for tidal projects is higher compared to terrestrial energy generation due to the difficulties and expense associated with accessing equipment underwater. The corrosive saltwater environment accelerates wear and tear, necessitating frequent and specialized maintenance to prevent component failure.

Key cost drivers for OpEx include the need for specialized vessels and divers to conduct inspections, perform repairs, and replace worn components. The cost of installation, operation, and maintenance for tidal stream projects is estimated to be between 3.4% and 5.8% of the capital expenditure, a higher percentage compared to offshore wind.

Location-specific variables also inflate the overall project budget. A greater distance from the shore increases the length and cost of high-voltage submarine cabling required to connect the array to the electrical grid. Additionally, sites with greater water depth or extreme tidal ranges require more robust, and therefore more expensive, engineering solutions for foundations and mooring systems.

Comparing Tidal Energy’s Final Price

The total cost of tidal power is best summarized by the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE), a metric that calculates the net present cost of generating one unit of electricity over the entire lifespan of the asset. LCOE synthesizes the high CapEx and the ongoing OpEx into a single, comparable figure. Current LCOE estimates for tidal stream energy are significantly higher than those for established energy sources, reflecting the technology’s relative immaturity and the high costs discussed previously.

In the mid-2010s, the LCOE for tidal power was estimated to be around €190 per megawatt-hour (€/MWh), which was considerably higher than offshore wind at €165/MWh and traditional energy sources. More recent estimates suggest that the LCOE for tidal stream projects is expected to be between $74/MWh and $330/MWh higher than offshore wind projects through the middle of the century. This disparity shows why tidal power currently struggles to compete directly in the energy market without government support or subsidies.

The high LCOE is offset by the unique value proposition of tidal power: its predictability. Unlike solar and wind, tidal cycles are governed by the moon’s gravity, making the energy output highly reliable and forecastable years in advance. This predictability adds value to the electrical grid by simplifying energy management and planning. However, this inherent benefit is not yet fully accounted for in the current LCOE figures, which focus primarily on the raw cost of generation rather than the grid stability value provided. The industry is working toward a projected LCOE reduction, aiming for a range of $130 to $280 per MWh by 2030 as the technology scales and cost-reduction strategies are implemented.