How Many Asiatic Lions Are Left in the Wild?

The Asiatic Lion, scientifically known as Panthera leo persica, represents a unique lineage of the lion species, distinct from its more numerous African cousins. This subspecies possesses a slightly smaller build, a sparser mane on males that often allows the ears to be visible, and a prominent longitudinal fold of skin along the belly, a trait rarely seen in African lions. The Asiatic Lion is one of the world’s most vulnerable large cat species, holding an important place in conservation efforts. Its future remains a significant concern for global biodiversity, reflecting the long-term impacts of historical range loss and genetic isolation.

The Current Population Status

The official 16th Asiatic Lion Census, released by the Gujarat Forest Department in May 2025, placed the population at 891 individuals. This figure represents a substantial increase of 32.2% from the 674 lions counted five years earlier in the 2020 estimation, demonstrating a continuous positive growth trend. The population consists of a mix of age groups, including 196 adult males, 330 adult females, and a significant number of sub-adults and cubs, indicating a healthy breeding rate.

The global conservation status for the Asiatic Lion is currently listed as Endangered on the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List of Threatened Species. This designation means the species faces a very high risk of extinction in the wild. While the population has recovered remarkably from a historical low of only a few dozen individuals at the turn of the 20th century, the Endangered classification reflects the inherent vulnerability of having the entire wild population confined to a single geographic region.

Exclusive Habitat and Historical Range

The entire wild population of Asiatic Lions is confined to the state of Gujarat in India. The core habitat is the Gir Forest National Park and Wildlife Sanctuary, a protected area in the Saurashtra peninsula. The lions, however, have expanded their range significantly beyond the central protected forest, now inhabiting a larger landscape that includes surrounding satellite areas and coastal regions.

The current, restricted distribution contrasts sharply with the historical range of Panthera leo persica, which was once vast. Historically, the Asiatic Lion ranged from the Middle East, across Southwest Asia, and into parts of Northern and Central India. Hunting and widespread habitat destruction caused the population to collapse, contracting its range until only a tiny, isolated pocket remained in the Gir Forest by the late 19th century. This confinement to a single location, even one that is well-protected, creates an ecological bottleneck that poses a singular risk to the species’ long-term survival.

Threats to Long Term Survival

The concentrated nature of the Asiatic Lion population introduces specific, severe threats that keep the species fragile.

A primary concern is the extreme lack of genetic diversity, a consequence of the population’s descent from a small number of founding individuals, an event known as a genetic bottleneck. This severely limited gene pool makes the lions more susceptible to inbreeding and a weakened immune system. The low genetic variation means the entire population may lack the necessary adaptability to cope with new environmental challenges or diseases.

A catastrophic disease outbreak is the most immediate threat due to the dense concentration of the lions. The 2018 Canine Distemper Virus (CDV) outbreak in the Gir region provided a stark warning, resulting in the deaths of over two dozen lions in a matter of weeks. Because the entire population is situated in one area, a highly contagious pathogen like CDV, potentially transmitted from domestic or feral dogs, could rapidly spread and wipe out a significant portion of the species before effective intervention is possible. This danger is compounded by other simultaneous infections, such as protozoal diseases.

Human-wildlife conflict presents another serious, ongoing challenge, especially as the lion population expands outside the protected forest boundaries. Lions increasingly move into areas bordering human settlements, which leads to livestock predation and subsequent retaliatory killings by local residents. Furthermore, accidental deaths are frequent, with many lions falling into the countless open agricultural wells surrounding the Gir forest. Vehicle collisions on roads that traverse the expanded lion landscape also contribute to mortality, highlighting the increasing pressure from human infrastructure on the species’ limited habitat.

Conservation Monitoring and Management

Population censuses, which are typically conducted every five years, now employ a sophisticated approach known as Direct Beat Verification combined with the Block Count method. This strategy relies on direct sightings of individual lions, aided by technology like GPS-enabled devices, camera traps, and a dedicated mobile application for real-time recording of lion locations and photographs. This modern process provides a more accurate and statistically robust population count than older methods that relied on identifying pugmarks.

Ongoing management strategies include rigorous habitat improvement efforts and comprehensive anti-poaching measures, which have been fundamental to the population’s recovery. Veterinary monitoring is a significant component of the conservation plan, especially after the 2018 CDV outbreak, with vaccination programs being implemented to protect the lions from infectious diseases. Project Lion, launched in 2020, further bolsters these efforts, focusing on landscape ecology, habitat restoration, and mitigating human-lion conflict through community engagement and infrastructure improvements.

The most discussed management strategy for the future is the establishment of a second, geographically separate population. This plan is aimed at mitigating the “single-location risk” posed by a potential epidemic or natural disaster in Gir. Kuno Palpur Wildlife Sanctuary in the neighboring state of Madhya Pradesh was identified decades ago as the most suitable site for this translocation. However, the plan to establish a second lion population remains a stated goal, with six additional sites also identified under Project Lion to ensure the long-term genetic and demographic security of the species.