How Fast Is Africa Splitting? The Speed of Continental Drift

The Earth’s surface is constantly reshaped by the slow but immense forces of plate tectonics. Continents are rafts of crust floating atop the planet’s mantle, engaging in a perpetual process of convergence and divergence. Africa is currently undergoing one of the most profound of these geological transformations: a continental rifting event that is gradually tearing the landmass apart.

Geographical Focus: The East African Rift

The splitting is concentrated along the East African Rift System (EARS), a fracture extending approximately 6,000 kilometers from the Red Sea down to Mozambique. This feature marks the boundary where the African Plate is separating into two distinct plates: the larger Nubian Plate and the smaller, eastward-moving Somalian Plate. The rift is a vast network of valleys, faults, and volcanic zones, spanning countries like Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania.

The system is divided into two main sections, the Eastern Rift and the Western Rift, both characterized by distinct geological activity. The Western Rift holds some of the world’s deepest lakes, such as Lake Tanganyika, and is more seismically active with deeper earthquakes. The Eastern Rift, passing through Ethiopia and Kenya, is distinguished by intense volcanism and features dramatic surface expressions like steep escarpments and down-dropped blocks of crust called grabens. These troughs and valleys are evidence of the ongoing crustal extension and thinning, which began roughly 25 million years ago.

The Driving Force Behind the Separation

The mechanism powering this continental breakup is the concept of a divergent plate boundary, where tectonic plates move away from one another. Unlike plate boundaries driven by distant forces, the East African Rift is primarily initiated by forces originating deep within the Earth’s mantle. A massive, buoyant column of hot rock, sometimes described as a “superplume,” is ascending from near the core-mantle boundary beneath East Africa.

This upwelling of abnormally hot mantle material pushes against the underside of the continental lithosphere, causing it to dome upward and stretch. The immense heat flow weakens the overlying crust, making it thin and brittle. As the crust stretches, it fractures into the numerous normal faults that define the rift valley. This thinning and fracturing process, known as lithospheric thinning, is the precursor to the eventual rupture and separation of the continental landmass.

Measuring the Speed of Continental Drift

The speed of this separation is measured using modern geodetic techniques, which reveal a slow but continuous movement. The average rate of divergence between the Nubian and Somalian plates is estimated to be between 6 and 7 millimeters (mm) per year, comparable to the speed at which a human fingernail grows. However, the speed is not uniform; in the northern Afar region of Ethiopia, where rifting is more advanced, separation rates can reach up to 15 to 20 mm per year.

Scientists precisely monitor this movement using an array of Global Positioning System (GPS) stations strategically placed across the rift valley. These stations continuously record their changing positions, providing highly accurate data on the subtle motion of the plates. The continuous GPS monitoring, alongside satellite geodesy, quantifies the strain accumulating in the crust, allowing researchers to track the millimetric shifts driving the continental split.

The Long-Term Geological Transformation

The ultimate consequence of this persistent, slow separation will be the dramatic transformation of Africa’s geography over millions of years. As the rifting continues, the central rift valley will sink lower and lower until it drops below sea level. Ocean water from the Gulf of Aden and the Red Sea is expected to flood the basin, creating a new, narrow ocean.

This process will effectively detach the eastern portion of the continent, including parts of Ethiopia, Kenya, and Tanzania, forming a new landmass or small continent. The formation of a new ocean basin will take an immense amount of time, with current estimates suggesting the full separation could occur within the next 5 to 10 million years. The splitting is also accompanied by frequent earthquakes and active volcanism, which are geological markers of this transition from continental rifting to the creation of new oceanic crust.