How Does El Niño Affect South America?

El Niño is a significant global climate pattern originating in the Pacific Ocean. This naturally occurring phenomenon involves periodic warming of sea surface temperatures, influencing weather, ecosystems, and economies across vast distances.

The El Niño Phenomenon

El Niño represents the warm phase of a larger, cyclical phenomenon known as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This climate pattern involves the unusual warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean, typically by 0.5°C to 1°C above average. During El Niño, the easterly trade winds, which normally blow from the Americas towards Asia, weaken or can even reverse direction.

This weakening allows warm surface water to move eastward, towards the west coast of the Americas. This eastward shift also reduces the upwelling of cooler, nutrient-rich water from the deep ocean along the South American coast. These changes in ocean temperatures and wind patterns redistribute ocean heat.

Climate Shifts Across South America

El Niño directly impacts South America by altering rainfall and temperature patterns. Coastal areas along the Pacific, such as northern Peru and Ecuador, often experience heavy rainfall and flooding due to warmer ocean temperatures. In contrast, the Amazon basin typically faces drier conditions and increased temperatures.

Southern regions of South America, including southern Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay, frequently observe increased rainfall and flooding during El Niño events. Meanwhile, parts of the Andes and northern South America, including central and northern Brazil, can experience below-average rainfall, leading to drought conditions. Temperatures can also rise significantly across central South America, with some areas in Brazil exceeding 40 degrees Celsius.

Ecological and Economic Repercussions

The climate shifts brought by El Niño have extensive ecological and economic consequences across South America. Agricultural sectors suffer significantly from altered rainfall patterns, with crop failures occurring due to either prolonged drought or excessive flooding. For instance, central and northern Brazil can experience reduced precipitation, impacting crops like coffee, while southern Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay may face challenges from increased rainfall affecting soybean and corn yields.

Water resources come under strain, leading to shortages in some areas and overwhelming infrastructure in others. Drought conditions, exacerbated by heatwaves, increase the risk of wildfires, particularly in the Amazon basin. The low water levels in rivers can also disrupt navigation and affect hydropower generation in countries like Colombia that rely heavily on it. El Niño events also accelerate glacial melt in the Andes by raising the freezing level, which subsequently affects water availability for agriculture and hydropower. In the Amazon, this can cause the forest to lose its capacity to absorb carbon, sometimes even becoming a carbon emitter due to tree mortality.

Marine ecosystems along the Pacific coast are highly susceptible to El Niño’s effects. The warming of surface waters and reduced upwelling of cold, nutrient-rich water severely disrupt fish populations, especially species like anchovies. This impacts the fishing industry, a vital sector for countries like Peru, leading to significant economic losses and declines in fishmeal production. Ecosystems also face stress, with changes in vegetation and increased risk of disease outbreaks, including mosquito-borne illnesses. Human livelihoods are affected by economic losses, food insecurity, and potential displacement due to floods and droughts.

Varying Regional Manifestations

El Niño’s impacts manifest differently across the diverse geography of South America. Pacific coastal areas of Peru and Ecuador typically experience heavy rainfall and warmer ocean temperatures. In contrast, the Amazon Basin generally faces drier conditions and increased temperatures. The Andean regions experience varied effects, with intense rainfall at lower altitudes along the Pacific side, while areas above 2,000 meters often receive less rain and endure higher temperatures. Southeastern South America, including southern Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay, tends to experience increased rainfall and a higher risk of flooding.