How Accurate Is the 12-Week Blood Test for Gender?

Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing (NIPT), often called a 12-week blood test, is a screening method used in early pregnancy. It involves drawing a blood sample from the pregnant individual. This article clarifies NIPT’s accuracy for determining fetal gender and its broader medical applications.

How the Test Works

NIPT analyzes small DNA fragments circulating in the pregnant individual’s bloodstream. During pregnancy, cells from the placenta, which shares the baby’s genetic makeup, shed DNA fragments, known as cell-free DNA (cfDNA), into the mother’s blood. The laboratory isolates and analyzes these cfDNA fragments. For gender determination, the test specifically looks for a Y chromosome; its presence indicates a male fetus, and its absence indicates a female fetus. This analysis can typically be performed as early as 10 weeks of gestation, when sufficient fetal DNA is present.

Accuracy for Gender Determination

NIPT is highly accurate for determining fetal gender, often over 99%. This accuracy stems from directly detecting fetal DNA, specifically the sex chromosomes, and the test’s ability to identify the Y chromosome makes it a reliable method for early gender prediction. While highly accurate, rare factors can influence gender accuracy. For instance, a vanishing twin, where one fetus does not survive, can lead to DNA detection from the demised twin, potentially causing gender misidentification if the vanished twin was male. Maternal mosaicism, where some of the mother’s cells have different genetic material, or rare maternal medical conditions can also interfere with results; however, these instances are uncommon.

Primary Medical Purpose

While NIPT provides fetal gender information, its main medical purpose is to screen for chromosomal abnormalities. This includes conditions like Down syndrome (Trisomy 21), Edwards syndrome (Trisomy 18), and Patau syndrome (Trisomy 13), caused by an extra chromosome copy. NIPT also screens for sex chromosome abnormalities, such as Turner syndrome or Klinefelter syndrome. NIPT is a screening test, not a diagnostic one. It estimates the risk of a fetus having certain genetic conditions. Unlike diagnostic tests such as amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling (CVS), which provide conclusive answers, NIPT indicates whether the risk of a condition is increased or decreased.

Understanding Results and Important Considerations

NIPT results typically indicate “low risk” or “high risk” for screened conditions. A low-risk result suggests a decreased chance, while a high-risk result indicates an increased likelihood, not a definitive diagnosis. In high-risk cases, further diagnostic testing, like amniocentesis or CVS, is usually recommended to confirm findings. Sometimes, NIPT yields an “inconclusive” result, meaning the test was unable to provide a clear outcome. This can occur if there’s insufficient fetal DNA in the bloodstream, known as a low fetal fraction. Factors like higher maternal BMI or early testing can contribute to a low fetal fraction, and a retest may be suggested in these situations.