Does Rain Cause Potholes? The Science Explained

A pothole is a bowl-shaped depression in the road surface, typically asphalt, that forms when pieces of the pavement break away under the stress of traffic. Potholes are caused by a complex interaction between a pre-existing structural weakness, traffic loads, and the presence of water. While rain does not directly cause a pothole, moisture from rain, snowmelt, or groundwater is a necessary catalyst. This moisture transforms a simple crack into a damaging crater.

The Necessary Precondition Pavement Cracks

The road surface, usually asphalt, is designed to be largely impermeable when intact. Therefore, the first step toward pothole formation requires a breach in this protective layer. This initial failure is often a form of fatigue cracking, caused by the repetitive stress of vehicle loads and the natural aging of the asphalt binder. Over time, this constant flexing leads to the development of small, interconnected surface fissures. These cracks act as conduits that allow water to infiltrate the underlying structural layers of the road.

The Role of Liquid Water and Subgrade Weakening

Once rain or meltwater penetrates the surface cracks, it reaches the sub-base and subgrade—the layers of gravel, soil, and aggregate that provide the road’s foundation. The presence of water severely compromises the strength of these materials by acting as a lubricant, reducing the ability of soil particles to interlock and bear weight. This saturation significantly lowers the subgrade’s load-bearing capacity. Traffic passing over the water-saturated foundation then creates hydrostatic pressure, displacing fine soil particles and weakening the sub-base layer beneath the asphalt. The pavement above this weakened base is no longer properly supported, allowing it to flex excessively under vehicle weight and accelerating failure.

The Critical Accelerator The Freeze-Thaw Cycle

In climates where temperatures frequently cycle above and below the freezing point of water, the rate of pothole formation is dramatically accelerated. This mechanism is known as the freeze-thaw cycle, and it is the most destructive weather-related factor in pavement degradation. Water, having seeped into the cracks and underlying layers, expands by approximately 9% when it turns to ice. This volumetric expansion exerts a powerful physical force against the walls of the crack, widening existing fissures and lifting the asphalt layer. When the ice melts, it leaves behind an enlarged crack and a hollow space in the sub-base, allowing the process to repeat until traffic causes the final collapse.

Preventing and Mitigating Pothole Formation

Interrupting the moisture infiltration process is the most effective way to prevent potholes from forming or recurring. This involves proactive maintenance strategies focused on water management and structural integrity. Timely crack sealing, which involves filling surface fissures with a flexible material, prevents rain from reaching the vulnerable sub-layers. Proper drainage is equally important, minimizing the amount of time water spends on the road structure by maintaining side drains and culverts. Improving the quality and compaction of the pavement and foundation layers ensures they retain their structural strength even if a small amount of moisture is present.