Can Your MELD Score Decrease?

The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score is a numerical measure that objectively assesses the severity of liver disease in adults. Ranging from 6 to 40, the score directly correlates with the risk of death within three months for patients with advanced liver failure. Its primary purpose is to prioritize candidates on the liver transplant waiting list, ensuring that the sickest patients receive a deceased donor organ first. A higher MELD score indicates a more urgent need for transplantation, but the core question for many patients is whether this number is fixed. The MELD score can decrease, reflecting a measurable improvement in liver and kidney function.

Understanding the MELD Score Calculation

The MELD score is generated through a mathematical formula that relies on the results of several standard blood tests. These laboratory values are selected because they serve as reliable markers for the liver’s primary functions and its effects on other major organs, particularly the kidneys.

One component is the International Normalized Ratio (INR), which measures how quickly a patient’s blood clots. A failing liver struggles to produce clotting factors, causing the INR value to rise and increasing the MELD score. Serum bilirubin is also measured; this yellow pigment is normally processed and excreted as waste by the liver. When liver function declines, bilirubin builds up in the blood, leading to jaundice and contributing to a higher score.

The formula also incorporates serum creatinine, an indicator of kidney function. Advanced liver disease often leads to hepatorenal syndrome, causing creatinine levels to rise sharply as the kidneys fail. Finally, serum sodium is included because low levels (hyponatremia) are common in severe cirrhosis due to fluid imbalances and are associated with a higher risk of death. These four objective values are plugged into a specific equation to calculate the final MELD score.

The Dynamic Nature of MELD and Decrease Potential

The MELD score is not a static prognosis but a dynamic measurement that reflects a patient’s current physiological state. Since the score is derived entirely from recent blood test results, any positive change in the underlying liver or kidney function will automatically result in a lower score. This variability means that a high score is not necessarily a permanent condition.

An acute medical event, such as an infection or a sudden episode of bleeding, can cause a temporary but significant spike in the MELD score. Conversely, successful treatment of that acute event can lead to a rapid reduction in the score, sometimes by several points. This fluctuation underscores the importance of regular blood testing to track the severity of the disease and monitor medical management.

Medical Interventions That Lower MELD

Physicians employ strategies to manage complications that directly elevate MELD score components. One of the most common triggers for a rapid increase in the score is an acute infection, such as Spontaneous Bacterial Peritonitis (SBP). Treatment with targeted antibiotics can quickly resolve the infection, reducing systemic inflammation and reversing the acute decline in liver and kidney function.

For patients suffering from Hepatorenal Syndrome (HRS), which causes a high creatinine component, intravenous albumin infusion combined with vasoconstrictor medications is a standard intervention. Albumin helps restore normal blood circulation and volume, improving blood flow to the kidneys and often leading to a measurable drop in creatinine. Temporary measures like an Artificial Liver Support System (ALSS) can also be used for patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) to clear toxins and stabilize the INR and bilirubin.

Treating the primary liver disease can also lead to sustained MELD score reduction. For example, patients with chronic Hepatitis B or C can see their liver inflammation decrease dramatically with long-term antiviral therapy. This treatment improves the liver’s synthetic capacity, lowering the INR and bilirubin over time, resulting in a lower, more stable MELD score.

Patient Management and Lifestyle Factors

Patients play a significant role in managing their MELD score by adhering to lifestyle and medication protocols. Strict compliance with prescribed medications, such as diuretics and lactulose, is necessary to control complications that influence the score. Diuretics help manage fluid retention and ascites, stabilizing the serum sodium level, while lactulose prevents the neurological effects of hepatic encephalopathy.

Dietary management is equally important and centers on rigorous sodium restriction to less than 2,000 milligrams per day. This low-sodium diet is fundamental in preventing the accumulation of fluid (ascites) and the resulting dilution of blood sodium, which contributes to a higher MELD score. Complete and permanent abstinence from alcohol is mandatory for patients with alcohol-associated liver disease, as continued drinking will inevitably lead to further liver damage and MELD score progression.

Contrary to older beliefs, protein restriction is now strongly discouraged for most patients, even those with hepatic encephalopathy. Adequate protein intake (typically 1.2 to 1.5 grams per kilogram of body weight daily) is necessary to combat severe malnutrition and muscle wasting (sarcopenia). Maintaining muscle health through proper nutrition and light exercise can help stabilize the creatinine component of the MELD calculation and improve overall health.