Can California Get Tsunamis? The Risks and Warning Systems

California is susceptible to tsunamis, with its entire coastline facing a continuous threat from Pacific Ocean seismic activity. A tsunami is a series of long-wavelength waves caused by a large, sudden displacement of water, most often from an undersea earthquake. These waves travel across the deep ocean at speeds comparable to a jet plane, retaining enormous energy over vast distances. While the state has not experienced a locally generated, devastating tsunami in modern history, it has been repeatedly impacted by distant sources.

Sources of Tsunami Threats to California

The primary mechanisms generating tsunamis affecting California are differentiated by their proximity to the coastline, which determines the available warning time. Distant sources, often called tele-tsunamis, originate from major subduction zones across the Pacific Ocean’s Ring of Fire. The Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone is a significant distant threat, demonstrated by the 1964 Great Alaska earthquake tsunami, which killed 13 people in California. The 2011 Japan Trench tsunami also caused hazardous currents and over $100 million in damage to California harbors. These distant events provide several hours of warning time.

In contrast, local sources pose a severe threat due to minimal warning time. The Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ), stretching from Northern California up to British Columbia, is capable of generating massive earthquakes. A great Cascadia earthquake would send a tsunami to the northern California coast within minutes, requiring immediate self-evacuation.

Another local threat comes from submarine landslides and movement along active faults near the coast. Earthquakes on submarine faults could generate locally destructive waves. The largest historical local-source tsunami was caused by the 1927 Point Arguello earthquake, which produced waves approximately seven feet high.

Geographic Vulnerability and Coastal Impact Zones

The severity of a tsunami impact depends heavily on the coastline’s geographic features, which can dramatically amplify wave energy. The bathymetry, or underwater topography, near the shore often acts like a funnel, concentrating wave energy into harbors and bays. This explains why certain locations experience far greater damage than others from the same distant event.

Crescent City, in Northern California, is the most frequently and severely impacted community on the West Coast, having recorded over 40 tsunamis since 1933. The unique shape of the continental shelf and harbor entrance funnels incoming waves, concentrating their energy and leading to destructive surges and currents. A moderate distant tsunami in 2006 caused over $20 million in damage to the Crescent City harbor due to these amplification effects.

This amplification is common in other enclosed areas, where waves can set up resonant oscillations. Harbors like Santa Cruz, San Francisco Bay, and San Diego Bay are susceptible to strong currents that destroy floating docks and slam vessels against structures. The primary risk is the speed of the surge and resulting currents, rather than the initial wave height.

Coastal areas with low elevation are at risk of inundation, the horizontal distance the water travels inland. Tsunami hazard zones and inundation maps delineate these areas. Dangerous currents and surges can continue for many hours, requiring people to stay away until an official “all clear” is issued.

California’s Tsunami Warning and Safety Systems

California relies on a sophisticated, multi-agency warning infrastructure to detect and disseminate alerts for potential tsunami threats. The primary detection method involves the Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami (DART) buoy network, operated by NOAA. These stations use seafloor pressure recorders to detect minuscule changes in water pressure caused by a passing tsunami wave, transmitting data via satellite to warning centers.

The data from the DART system and seismic information are processed by the U.S. Tsunami Warning Centers. The National Tsunami Warning Center (NTWC) and the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) issue alerts for the U.S. West Coast. These federal alerts are relayed to the California Governor’s Office of Emergency Services (CalOES), which coordinates state-level response and public dissemination.

Official warnings are categorized into three levels:

  • A Tsunami Advisory indicates a threat of strong currents or dangerous waves, requiring people to stay out of the water and away from the immediate shore.
  • A Tsunami Watch means a tsunami may affect the area, and officials are monitoring the situation closely.
  • A Tsunami Warning is the highest alert, indicating that a dangerous coastal flood is expected or occurring, requiring immediate evacuation of all coastal areas.

Public safety measures are reinforced through the California Geological Survey’s Tsunami Hazard Zones and Evacuation Maps. For local-source tsunamis, the public must rely on natural warnings, as official alerts may not arrive in time. Strong, long-lasting ground shaking or a sudden, unusual retreat of the ocean are clear indicators that a tsunami is imminent, requiring immediate movement inland or uphill.