Can a Gender Blood Test Be Wrong for a Girl?

Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing (NIPT) has become a widely used method for early insights into a developing pregnancy. This blood test offers expectant parents the option to learn about certain chromosomal conditions and the fetal sex. The accuracy of a ‘girl’ result from these tests is a specific concern for many.

How Gender Blood Tests Work

Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing analyzes cell-free fetal DNA (cffDNA) circulating in the pregnant parent’s bloodstream. This cffDNA originates from the placenta and carries the genetic information of the fetus. The test identifies fetal sex by looking for the presence or absence of the Y chromosome. If Y chromosome sequences are detected, the fetus is male; if absent, the fetus is female. These tests can generally be performed from around 10 weeks of gestation, when sufficient fetal DNA is present for analysis.

The Accuracy of Female Results

Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing is highly accurate for determining fetal sex. For a ‘girl’ result, indicated by the absence of the Y chromosome, accuracy is typically 98% to 99.9% or higher. This high accuracy stems from the biological principle that a female fetus does not contribute Y chromosome material to the maternal bloodstream. The test’s reliability for detecting a female fetus is robust because it depends on the non-detection of a specific genetic marker.

Reasons a Female Result Might Be Incorrect

While a ‘girl’ result from NIPT is largely accurate, rare circumstances can lead to an incorrect outcome. One situation involves vanishing twin syndrome, where a male twin was present but miscarried, leaving residual Y chromosome DNA. This residual DNA could theoretically lead to a false male result, but if the Y chromosome is absent, it reinforces a female result.

Maternal biological factors can also influence accuracy. In rare instances, the pregnant individual’s own DNA might contain Y chromosome material, such as from a past male organ transplant or blood transfusion. Maternal mosaicism, a rare condition where some of the mother’s cells naturally contain a Y chromosome, could also interfere with accurate fetal sex assessment.

Another factor impacting accuracy is a low fetal fraction. This occurs when insufficient fetal DNA is in the maternal blood sample. If too low, the test might not detect a Y chromosome, potentially leading to an inconclusive or inaccurate ‘girl’ result. Laboratory errors, though rare, are also a possibility.

Verifying Gender After Testing

If there are doubts about a Non-Invasive Prenatal Testing gender result, several methods can provide further confirmation. A detailed ultrasound, typically performed in the second trimester (18 to 22 weeks), is a reliable way to visually confirm fetal sex. Its accuracy increases with gestational age and depends on fetal position.

More invasive diagnostic tests like amniocentesis or chorionic villus sampling (CVS) can definitively determine gender by directly analyzing fetal cells. However, these procedures carry a small risk of complications, including miscarriage. They are usually reserved for medical concerns, such as a suspected genetic condition, rather than solely for gender confirmation. Consulting a healthcare provider or genetic counselor is recommended to discuss any questions or discrepancies.