Are We Running Out of Silicon for Chips?

Silicon, in the form of its oxide, silica, is the second most abundant element in the Earth’s crust, making up about 28% of its mass. The Earth has no geological shortage of this element, which is found everywhere in sand and quartz. The real tension in the global supply chain does not stem from scarcity of the base element but from the extreme difficulty and capacity limitations involved in transforming it into a usable electronic material.

Silicon as an Element and Compound

Silicon is a metalloid element with the chemical symbol Si and is the foundation for all conventional microchips due to its semiconducting properties. The most common natural source is silicon dioxide, or silica, which is the main component of quartz and common sand. To be used in electronics, this naturally occurring compound must first be purified and separated from the oxygen atoms.

It is important to distinguish the elemental form, silicon, from the synthetic polymer known as silicone. Silicone is a rubber-like substance used in medical implants, sealants, and kitchenware, composed of silicon, oxygen, carbon, and hydrogen. While one is the core of a microchip, the other is a man-made material derived from the element, but possessing completely different physical properties.

The True Bottleneck: High-Purity Processing

The primary constraint on silicon supply is the capital and energy-intensive process required to achieve the necessary purity for semiconductor manufacturing. Raw quartz is first processed into metallurgical-grade silicon (MGS), which is about 98% pure, a level adequate for aluminum alloys but useless for electronics. This MGS must then be purified into electronic-grade silicon (EGS), which must reach an extraordinary purity of 99.9999999%, often referred to as “nine nines” or 9N.

Achieving this hyper-purity involves the multi-stage Siemens process, which converts the MGS into a volatile gas called trichlorosilane. This gas is then distilled and decomposed at high temperatures to deposit ultra-pure polycrystalline silicon onto thin rods. This chemical conversion is extremely energy-intensive, consuming an estimated 60 to 100 kilowatt-hours of electricity for every kilogram of polysilicon produced.

Once the polysilicon is purified, it must be grown into a flawless, single-crystal ingot, or boule, using the Czochralski (CZ) process. This method involves melting the polysilicon and slowly pulling a rotating seed crystal from the melt, a procedure that takes days and is highly sensitive to temperature and rotation controls. For advanced logic chips, the presence of impurities must be limited to below 0.1 parts per trillion, as even a few misplaced atoms can destroy a transistor’s function.

Mitigation Through Advanced Materials and Recycling

The industry is mitigating the silicon bottleneck by moving to alternative materials and embracing greater material efficiency. One major shift involves the adoption of wide bandgap semiconductors, such as Silicon Carbide (SiC) and Gallium Nitride (GaN), for specialized applications. These compounds possess a much wider bandgap than silicon’s 1.1 electron volts (eV), enabling them to handle higher voltages and temperatures.

SiC, for instance, has a bandgap of 3.2 eV, which makes it ideal for power electronics in electric vehicles (EVs) and solar inverters, where it can reduce energy losses by up to 90%. GaN devices can switch 10 to 100 times faster than their silicon counterparts and are significantly smaller, making them perfect for high-speed charging and 5G infrastructure. By migrating high-power and high-frequency applications to these advanced materials, the pressure on the conventional silicon supply is reduced.

Manufacturers are also focusing on material efficiency and closed-loop recycling programs to conserve the highly processed silicon. Used or defective silicon wafers are collected and sent through a rigorous refurbishment process involving chemical etching, mechanical polishing, and thermal treatments to restore their surface integrity. These closed-loop systems can reclaim over 95% of the silicon material from used wafers, drastically reducing the need for virgin polysilicon. Improving manufacturing yield and recovering other valuable metals from wastewater streams further contributes to maximizing the use of the expensive, high-purity material.