What Is Causing the Amazon River Drought?

The Amazon River, an immense system of waterways and the world’s largest rainforest, plays a significant role in global climate regulation and biodiversity. Recent years have brought increasing concern over recurring and severe droughts across the Amazon basin, signaling a worrying shift in its natural rhythms. These events are becoming more frequent and intense, impacting the health and stability of this ecosystem.

The Current State of the Amazon River

The Amazon River basin has been experiencing severe drought conditions since mid-2023, persisting into 2024. Water levels have plummeted to historical lows, with some areas reporting the lowest levels in over 120 years of record-keeping. For instance, the Negro River, a major tributary, reached 12.66 meters at the port of Manaus in October 2024, well below its normal level of 21 meters.

These dramatic drops have exposed vast stretches of riverbeds, leaving boats stranded and interrupting transportation routes. The Madeira River, another significant tributary, saw its level fall to 48 centimeters in Porto Velho in September 2023, compared to its usual 332 centimeters.

What is Causing the Droughts

Amazon River droughts result from several environmental factors, with human-induced climate change as a primary driver. Global warming alters rainfall patterns, reducing precipitation over the Amazon basin. Simultaneously, increased temperatures intensify evaporation from land and water surfaces. This combination of less water input and more water loss exacerbates drought conditions.

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) also influences rainfall patterns, naturally shifting moisture away from the region during its warm phase. While El Niño is a natural phenomenon, human-caused global warming significantly impacted the intensity of the 2023 Amazon drought.

Deforestation further compounds the problem by disrupting the regional water cycle. The Amazon rainforest is a significant source of moisture; at least half of the rain falling over the basin is recycled moisture released by trees through evapotranspiration. When large areas of forest are cleared, this “flying rivers” phenomenon, which transports moisture inland, weakens, leading to reduced rainfall and prolonged dry seasons.

Consequences for Ecosystems and Communities

Severe droughts in the Amazon have far-reaching consequences for its diverse ecosystems and human communities. Ecologically, low water levels and higher temperatures in remaining water bodies have led to widespread aquatic life deaths, including fish die-offs and the loss of over 100 Amazonian river dolphins in Lake Tefé. The stressed forest also becomes more susceptible to wildfires, releasing carbon dioxide and further degrading the ecosystem.

For human populations, especially indigenous and riverside communities, the impacts are significant. Many rely on river transportation for food, medical supplies, and education. Low water levels have isolated them, creating shortages of drinking water and food. Reduced fish populations also impact their primary food source and economic livelihood.

Economic ramifications extend beyond isolated communities. Disruption of river navigation affects broader supply chains and regional commerce. Hydropower generation, which accounts for a large percentage of electricity in countries like Brazil, Colombia, and Peru, is also severely impacted by low river levels, leading to power cuts.

Looking Ahead

Scientific projections indicate increased frequency and intensity of Amazon River droughts in the future. The observed pattern of persistent and widespread drought suggests a changing risk. This trend pushes the Amazon rainforest closer to a potential “tipping point,” where large parts could transition into a savanna-like environment.

In response, various efforts are underway to monitor the situation and develop adaptive strategies. These include tracking water levels and rainfall, improving early warning systems, and supporting communities in adapting to changing conditions. Mitigation efforts focus on addressing root causes, such as reducing deforestation through stricter regulations and promoting sustainable land use practices.

The health of the Amazon River and its surrounding rainforest holds global significance. As a major carbon sink, its degradation could release vast amounts of stored carbon dioxide, further accelerating global warming and leading to more extreme weather events worldwide. Preserving this biodiverse region and its hydrological cycle is not just a regional concern but a global necessity for environmental stability.

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