The 2022 Pakistan Floods: A Climate Catastrophe

The 2022 Pakistan floods were a catastrophic event that submerged vast areas of the nation. This unprecedented deluge brought widespread devastation, impacting communities and landscapes across the country. One-third of Pakistan eventually became submerged under floodwaters.

Causes of the Unprecedented Flooding

The devastating floods were primarily driven by two concurrent natural phenomena. Pakistan experienced an intense and prolonged monsoon season, colloquially termed the “monster monsoon,” which delivered record-breaking rainfall. Provinces like Sindh received an astonishing 784% more rainfall than their average for August, while Balochistan recorded 496% above its normal rainfall for the same month.

Exacerbating the heavy rains, severe heatwaves earlier in the year accelerated glacial melt in Pakistan’s northern mountain ranges. This rapid melting led to numerous Glacial Lake Outburst Floods (GLOFs), where large volumes of water and debris suddenly burst from glacial lakes, swelling rivers downstream. Notable GLOF incidents occurred in areas such as the Laspur Valley in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa on July 3, 2022, and in the Hunza District of Gilgit-Baltistan on July 2, 2022. The number of GLOF events surged to 75 in 2022, a significant increase from an average of 14 incidents between 2018 and 2021.

Scale and Timeline of the Disaster

The onset of the disaster began with heavy monsoon rains in mid-June 2022, escalating rapidly and peaking through August and September. The relentless downpour and subsequent flooding continued to impact the country until October 2022. By the end of August, satellite imagery revealed approximately 75,000 square kilometers of land were submerged, with the total area of standing floodwaters reaching about 84,952 square kilometers at its peak.

The floods affected all four of Pakistan’s provinces, with 81 districts declared “Calamity Hit” by early September 2022. Sindh and Balochistan were particularly devastated, accounting for 23 and 32 calamity-hit districts respectively. Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Punjab also experienced widespread inundation.

The Human and Economic Toll

The floods had profound human consequences, impacting an estimated 33 million people across the nation. The disaster resulted in the loss of over 1,700 lives and left more than 12,800 individuals injured. Approximately 7.9 million people were internally displaced, many seeking refuge in relief camps or informal housing.

Damage to infrastructure was extensive, with over 2 million homes affected; approximately 780,000 houses were completely destroyed and another 1.2 million partially damaged. The floods also severely disrupted transportation networks, destroying 6,579 kilometers of roads and 246 bridges. Additionally, more than 22,000 schools were damaged or rendered unusable, and hundreds of health facilities, including 501 in Sindh and 244 in Balochistan, sustained damage.

The agricultural sector, a cornerstone of Pakistan’s economy, suffered immense losses. An estimated 9.4 million acres of cropland were inundated in August 2022, including significant portions in Sindh and Punjab. Over 1.2 million livestock perished, compounding economic hardship for affected households. The floods devastated nearly 15% of Pakistan’s rice crop and 40% of its cotton crop.

Total economic damage was estimated at US$14.9 billion. The housing, agriculture, and transport sectors sustained the most severe damage, with reconstruction and recovery efforts projected to require at least US$16.3 billion. This economic disruption was projected to push an additional 8.4 to 9.1 million people into poverty.

International and National Response Efforts

In response to the widespread calamity, the Pakistani government declared a national emergency on August 25, 2022. Federal and provincial authorities immediately commenced extensive relief operations across the country. The Prime Minister’s Flood Relief Fund 2022 was established to facilitate contributions from within Pakistan and overseas, supporting the distribution of essential aid such as tents, tarpaulins, mosquito nets, and food packages.

The international community mobilized substantial support, with the United Nations and various humanitarian partners working alongside the government. The “2022 Pakistan Floods Response Plan” was jointly launched, seeking US$160.3 million for immediate, life-saving assistance covering food security, agriculture, shelter, health services, and protection. The UN Secretary-General described the event as “a monsoon on steroids.” Many countries, international organizations, and non-governmental organizations contributed aid to the affected regions. International partners pledged US$10.9 billion for post-flood recovery, of which US$7.128 billion has been realized, although only US$3.064 billion had been disbursed as of June 2024.

Connection to Global Climate Change

The 2022 Pakistan floods underscored the nation’s profound vulnerability to the escalating effects of global climate change. This disaster serves as a stark illustration of how rising global temperatures contribute to more frequent and intense extreme weather events. Despite Pakistan contributing less than one percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, it is consistently ranked among the ten countries most susceptible to climate change impacts.

The country’s low carbon footprint contrasts sharply with the disproportionate risks its population faces. Pakistanis are estimated to be 15 times more likely to die from climate-related disasters compared to people in other nations, despite their minimal contribution to the global emissions that drive these changes. A severe heatwave in March and April 2022, which saw temperatures rise by five degrees, contributed to accelerated glacial melt, further demonstrating the direct link between warming trends and the conditions that led to the floods. The event highlights a significant climate imbalance, where nations with historically low emissions bear the brunt of environmental shifts largely caused by industrialized countries.

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